Ukususela oko ubhubhani, ishishini lezorhwebo kunye neshishini lezothutho liye lahlala linesiphithiphithi. Kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, imithwalo yolwandle yanda, kwaye ngoku ibonakala ingena "kwixabiso eliqhelekileyo" leminyaka emibini edlulileyo, kodwa ngaba imarike inokubuyela ngokuqhelekileyo?
Idatha
Uhlelo lwamva nje lwezalathisi zothutho ezine ezinkulu zehlabathi luqhubekile nokuhla kakhulu:
-I-Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) yema kwii-2562.12 amaphuzu, phantsi kwe-285.5. amanqaku ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, ukuhla ngeveki ye-10.0%, kwaye iye yawa kwiiveki ze-13 ezilandelelanayo. Yehle nge-43.9% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.
-I-Delury's World Container Freight Index (WCI) iye yawa kwiiveki ze-28 ezilandelelanayo, kunye noshicilelo lwamva lwehla kwi-5% ukuya kwi-US $ 5,378.68 nge-FEU.
-I-Baltic Freight Index (FBX) Global Composite Index kwi-US $ 4,862 / FEU, ihle nge-8% ngeveki.
-I-Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) ye-Ningbo Shipping Exchange ivaliwe kwii-1,910.9 amaphuzu, phantsi kweepesenti ze-11.6 ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo.
Ushicilelo lwamva nje lwe-SCFI (9.9) luqhubekile nokubona ukuhla kuzo zonke iireyithi ezinkulu zokuthumela ngenqanawa.
-Iindlela zaseMntla Melika: ukusebenza kwemarike yezothutho kusilele ukuphucuka, unikezelo kunye nemfuno ezisisiseko zibuthathaka, okubangele ukuba imakethi iqhubeleke ngokuhla kwemilinganiselo yomthwalo.
-Amazinga ase-US aseNtshona awela kwi-3,484 / FEU ukusuka kwi-3,959 kwiveki ephelileyo, ukuhla kweveki ye-475 okanye i-12.0% yeveki, kunye namaxabiso ase-US aseNtshona afikelela kwi-low low ukususela ngo-Agasti 2020.
-Amazinga ase-US aseMpuma awela kwi-$ 7,767 / FEU ukusuka kwi-$ 8,318 ngeveki edlulileyo, phantsi kwe-$ 551, okanye i-6.6 yeepesenti, ngeveki.
Izizathu
Ngexesha lo bhubhani, amakhonkco obonelelo aphazamisekile kwaye izinto ezithile zaye zanqunyulwa kwamanye amazwe, nto leyo ebangele “i-hoarding wave” kumazwe amaninzi, nto leyo ekhokelele kwiindleko zokuthumela ngenqanawa eziphezulu ngokungaqhelekanga kulo nyaka uphelileyo.
Kulo nyaka, uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nemfuno ehlayo yenze ukuba kube nzima ukwetyisa izitokhwe ebezigcinwe kwintengiso, nto leyo ebangela ukuba abarhwebi abavela kumazwe angaphandle eYurophu naseMelika banciphise okanye bade barhoxise iiodolo zeempahla, kwaye "ukunqongophala kwee-odolo" kusasazeka kwihlabathi jikelele.
UDing Chun, unjingalwazi weZiko lezoQoqosho lweHlabathi, kwiSikolo sezoQoqosho kwiYunivesithi yaseFudan: “Ukwehla okubangelwa ikakhulu kukunyuka kwamaxabiso eYurophu naseUnited States, nto leyo eyongezelela kungquzulwano lwelizwe, iingxaki zamandla nobhubhani, nto leyo eye yabangela ukudodobala okukhulu kwemfuno yokuthunyelwa kweenqanawa.”
U-Kang Shuchun, i-CEO ye-China International Shipping Network: "Ukungalingani phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno kukhokelele ekwehleni kwamaxabiso okuthutha."
Impembelelo
Kwiinkampani zokuthumela ngenqanawa:bajongene noxinzelelo “lokuphinda kuxoxwe” ngamaxabiso ekhontrakthi, kwaye bathi bafumene izicelo kubanini-mpahla zokunciphisa amaxabiso ekhontrakthi.
Kumashishini asekhaya:UXu Kai, igosa eliyintloko lolwazi leZiko loPhando ngeShipping laMazwe ngaMazwe laseShanghai, uxelele iGlobal Times ukuba ukholelwa ukuba amaxabiso enqanawa aphezulu ngokungaqhelekanga kulo nyaka uphelileyo ayengaqhelekanga, ngelixa ukuhla okukhawulezileyo kulo nyaka bekungaqhelekanga ngakumbi, kwaye kufanele kube kukusabela okugqithisileyo kweenkampani zeenqanawa kutshintsho lwentengiso. Ukuze kugcinwe amaxabiso omthwalo we-liner, iinkampani zokuthumela ngenqanawa zizama ukusebenzisa amaxabiso omthwalo njengesixhobo sokufumana imfuno. Undoqo wokuhla kwemfuno yothutho lwemarike kukuncipha kwemfuno yorhwebo, kwaye isicwangciso sokusebenzisa ukucutha amaxabiso asisayi kuzisa nayiphi na imfuno entsha, kodwa siya kukhokelela kukhuphiswano olubi kunye nokuphazamiseka kwimarike yaselwandle.
Ngenqanawa:Inani elikhulu leenqanawa ezitsha eziqaliswe zizigebenga zokuthutha ziye zandisa umsantsa phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno. UKang Shuchun uthe amaxabiso aphezulu ngokungaqhelekanga kulo nyaka uphelileyo enze ukuba iinkampani ezininzi zeenqanawa zifumana imali eninzi, kwaye ezinye iinkampani ezinkulu zokuthumela ngenqanawa zibeka inzuzo yazo kulwakhiwo olutsha lweenqanawa, ngelixa ngaphambi kobhubhani, umthamo wokuthumela ngenqanawa kwihlabathi wawusele uphezulu kunomthamo. IWall Street Journal icaphule uBraemar, umcebisi wamandla kunye nokuhanjiswa kweenqanawa, esithi uthotho lweenqanawa ezitsha ziya kusungulwa kwiminyaka emibini ezayo kwaye isantya sokukhula kwezithuthi kulindeleke ukuba sidlule ipesenti ezisi-9 kulo nyaka uzayo nangowama-2024, ngelixa inqanaba lokukhula konyaka-ngonyaka lomthamo wempahla yokuthuthwa kwempahla liya kuba libi ngo-2023, nto leyo eya kukhulisa ukungalingani kwehlabathi.
Ukuqukumbela
Undoqo wemfuno yothutho lwemarike ecuthekayo kukuhla kwemfuno yorhwebo, ukusebenzisa isicwangciso sokunciphisa amaxabiso akusayi kuzisa nayiphi na imfuno entsha, kodwa kuya kukhokelela kukhuphiswano olubi kunye nokuphazamisa ukucwangciswa kweemarike zaselwandle.
Kodwa iimfazwe zamaxabiso azikho isisombululo esizinzileyo nangaliphi na ixesha. Imigaqo-nkqubo yokutshintsha amaxabiso kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yokuthotyelwa kweemarike ayinakunceda iinkampani ukuba zigcine uphuhliso lwazo kwaye zifumane indawo esisigxina kwimarike; ekuphela kwendlela esisiseko yokunyamezela kwimarike kukufumana iindlela zokugcina nokuphucula amanqanaba eenkonzo kunye nokuphucula amandla abo oshishino.
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-22-2022
